CD San Fernando vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
BAL
3 - 0
SFE
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
CAD
2 - 0
SFE
69%
16%
15%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
SFE
1 - 1
REC
53%
19%
28%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
ANT
3 - 0
SFE
53%
20%
28%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
SFE
4 - 1
CAD
62%
18%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
CAL
4 - 1
LCF
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1947 |
REC
6 - 2
CAL
89%
8%
4%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
CAL
1 - 0
COR
28%
23%
50%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
BAL
5 - 0
CAL
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
CAL
2 - 5
REC
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |