CD San Fernando vs Alcalá de Guadaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SOL
1 - 0
SFE
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SFE
1 - 2
COR
48%
26%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CRD
0 - 2
SFE
46%
26%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SFE
2 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
BOL
3 - 1
SFE
42%
28%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alcalá de Guadaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
AGU
4 - 0
CCF
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
POR
1 - 2
AGU
21%
28%
52%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
AGU
3 - 1
CAR
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
AGU
0 - 0
MON
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SOL
1 - 1
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |