CD San Fernando vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
CAD
1 - 0
SFE
62%
21%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
SFE
1 - 2
CCF
44%
26%
31%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
CDT
1 - 0
SFE
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
SFE
1 - 0
LEV
49%
24%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
CEU
2 - 0
SFE
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
PUL
3 - 0
CDT
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
LEV
2 - 1
PUL
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
PUL
1 - 0
MUR
65%
20%
16%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
EXT
2 - 1
PUL
47%
23%
30%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
HER
1 - 0
PUL
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |