Ocna Mureș vs Metalurgistul Cugir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
55%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
10º
10º
31
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocna Mureș
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 2
CSO
56%
22%
23%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VII
3 - 0
CSO
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CSO
1 - 1
CSU
4%
11%
85%
|
26 | 79 | 53 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CSO
2 - 3
UAI
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HUN
7 - 0
CSO
84%
12%
5%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Metalurgistul Cugir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
MET
1 - 0
UAI
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HUN
4 - 0
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
MET
2 - 1
ACS
64%
18%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
MET
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCU
3 - 1
MET
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |