Ocna Mureș vs ACS Târgu Mures analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
58.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
10º
10º
24
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ocna Mureș
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
CSO
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CSO
0 - 3
FCU
32%
24%
45%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
CSO
0 - 6
MBM
6%
15%
79%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SNT
7 - 3
CSO
43%
21%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CSO
0 - 6
MET
25%
20%
55%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
ACS Târgu Mures
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ACS
3 - 1
UAI
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
HUN
1 - 0
ACS
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
ACS
2 - 1
VII
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
ACS
2 - 1
UNI
24%
20%
56%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
FCU
4 - 0
ACS
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |