CS Marítimo vs Nueva Esparta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
11º
2º
20
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
4 - 1
MAR
34%
29%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
AAF
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BSC
0 - 4
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 0
AIF
61%
23%
15%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DPU
0 - 0
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Esparta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
DNE
1 - 2
MIR
34%
29%
37%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
DNE
1 - 0
AIF
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DPU
3 - 1
DNE
59%
22%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DNE
0 - 1
AAF
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
DNE
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |