CS Marítimo vs Nueva Esparta FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
10º
2º
13
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 13 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAR
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
AAF
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
AIF
0 - 2
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BSC
3 - 2
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
MIR
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Esparta FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
BSC
0 - 0
DNE
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DNE
2 - 2
DPU
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 0
DNE
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
DNE
0 - 1
AIF
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
DNE
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |