Sportivo Desamparados vs Independiente Villa Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
DES
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 2
DES
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
DES
1 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DES
2 - 1
LEO
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
DES
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
IND
3 - 3
SPO
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
IND
4 - 1
ATL
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +4 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
IND
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ATE
2 - 1
IND
63%
20%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
IND
74%
16%
9%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |