Sportivo Desamparados vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
DES
3 - 2
CEN
17%
26%
57%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
ATT
1 - 1
DES
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
DES
2 - 0
ALD
21%
25%
55%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
HUR
2 - 1
DES
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
DES
0 - 2
FER
30%
28%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 2
QUI
32%
28%
39%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
IRV
1 - 0
GBR
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 1
ALM
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
BUC
3 - 6
GBR
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 2
GBR
70%
19%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |