Sportivo Desamparados vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 0
DES
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DES
0 - 0
GBR
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
DES
3 - 2
CEN
17%
26%
57%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
ATT
1 - 1
DES
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
DES
2 - 0
ALD
21%
25%
55%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 1
GIM
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 0
ALV
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
RIV
0 - 0
ALV
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 1
ALV
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
ALV
2 - 1
RSA
33%
27%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |