Sportivo Desamparados vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
RAC
2 - 1
DES
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
DES
1 - 2
TAL
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
EST
0 - 0
DES
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
DES
1 - 0
JUU
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
MAI
0 - 1
DES
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAA
3 - 2
TAL
20%
25%
55%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
JUU
1 - 1
CAA
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 1
SPB
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 0
CAA
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
CAA
2 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |