Sportivo Desamparados vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
24.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 0
DES
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
DES
0 - 2
TAL
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
EST
0 - 1
DES
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
DES
1 - 0
JUU
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
MAI
0 - 0
DES
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CAA
1 - 3
TAL
26%
26%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
JUU
2 - 2
CAA
52%
25%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CAA
2 - 4
SPB
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 0
CAA
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CAA
0 - 1
EST
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |