Sportivo Desamparados vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
DES
1 - 0
JUU
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2009 |
JAN
2 - 0
DES
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2009 |
DES
4 - 1
CCS
29%
29%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAA
2 - 0
DES
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
DES
1 - 1
TAL
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAA
0 - 1
CCS
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
TAL
2 - 0
CAA
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAA
2 - 0
DES
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
MAI
1 - 0
CAA
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CAA
0 - 0
EST
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |