Sportivo Desamparados vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TAL
3 - 0
DES
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
DES
0 - 0
MAI
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
DES
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
DES
0 - 1
RAC
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
DES
0 - 0
PAT
39%
29%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CAA
1 - 2
MAI
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
CAA
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CAA
2 - 0
RAC
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
JUU
2 - 2
CAA
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CAA
0 - 1
JAN
40%
26%
33%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |