Sportivo Desamparados vs Alumni Villa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 0
DES
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
DES
3 - 0
RAC
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
JUU
1 - 0
DES
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
DES
2 - 1
IRV
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
DES
2 - 1
SMA
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LCY
2 - 2
CAA
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CAA
2 - 0
GIM
16%
25%
60%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
RAC
2 - 0
CAA
55%
23%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
CAA
5 - 2
JUU
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CAA
0 - 1
IRV
34%
26%
39%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |