Copa Peru Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Deportivo Verdecocha vs Deportivo Ferrocarril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
73.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportivo Verdecocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
LPT
1 - 1
CDV
30%
25%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDV
1 - 1
ABR
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
SEM
1 - 0
CDV
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CDV
2 - 1
SEM
23%
20%
57%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ABR
3 - 0
CDV
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Ferrocarril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 3
DEF
4%
13%
83%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 1
BOC
2%
6%
91%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 2
DEF
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 1
LEO
71%
16%
12%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BOC
3 - 1
DEF
94%
5%
2%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |