Capelense vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CSA
3 - 2
CAP
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAP
1 - 1
COR
15%
21%
64%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
COR
2 - 1
CAP
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 2
CAP
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
CAP
1 - 1
CSA
23%
26%
52%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | +3 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
IPA
0 - 0
COR
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
IPA
3 - 0
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
CSA
2 - 2
IPA
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
IPA
1 - 2
CAP
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
COR
2 - 1
IPA
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |