Cacahuatique vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
8º
2º
27
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 2
CDC
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
FAS
21%
26%
54%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 1
CDC
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 2
MET
19%
23%
58%
|
30 | 69 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
CDC
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 2
AGU
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 0
CDP
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 2
MUN
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MET
0 - 3
MUN
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
4 - 0
FUE
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |