Cacahuatique vs CD Fuerte San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
10º
8º
2
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 41 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 38 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 37 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
5 | 37 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 36 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 33 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 30 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
2 | 24 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 22 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 21 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 19 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
58.5% | 31.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 68.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2025 |
INT
1 - 2
CDC
9%
15%
76%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 1
CDC
9%
15%
77%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
ALI
4 - 0
CDC
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALI
9%
15%
76%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 8
FAS
30%
29%
41%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
INT
0 - 0
FUE
19%
23%
59%
|
54 | 10 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 0
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 0
FUE
62%
20%
18%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 1
ALI
11%
17%
72%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |