Cacahuatique vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
8º
2º
39
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
CDC
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 70 | 45 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 2
CDC
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 1
CDP
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 64 | 42 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 0
CDC
69%
20%
12%
|
22 | 69 | 47 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 0
AGU
23%
29%
49%
|
22 | 70 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
FIR
2 - 0
MUN
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
FIR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FAS
4 - 1
FIR
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 0
AGU
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 3
FIR
38%
26%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |