Cacahuatique vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+101%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
6º
6º
22
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 2
CDD
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 1
CDP
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 2
CDC
65%
22%
13%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 2
ONC
21%
26%
53%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MET
0 - 0
CDC
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
FAS
0 - 1
MUN
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
FAS
2 - 0
ONC
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2025 |
FAS
0 - 0
MET
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
FUE
0 - 0
FAS
26%
27%
46%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 1
ALI
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |