Cacahuatique vs CD Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
8º
2º
13
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 0
CDC
63%
24%
13%
|
27 | 70 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 0
FIR
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 70 | 44 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
CDC
72%
18%
10%
|
25 | 70 | 45 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 2
CDC
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 1
CDP
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 64 | 42 | +2 |
Matches
CD Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 0
CDD
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 1
MUN
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 3
CDD
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 0
FAS
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MET
4 - 0
CDD
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |