Cacahuatique vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 1
FIR
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 2
CDC
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
CDD
1 - 2
CDC
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
CDP
2 - 0
CDC
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 2
MUN
27%
28%
45%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
ONC
0 - 2
ALI
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FUE
1 - 0
ALI
27%
28%
46%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 1
AGU
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
FIR
0 - 0
ALI
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |