Cacahuatique vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
6º
6º
39
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 39 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacahuatique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
AGU
4 - 2
CDC
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FIR
1 - 1
CDC
63%
23%
15%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 0
FAS
25%
28%
48%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 2
CDD
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CDC
1 - 1
CDP
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ALI
0 - 0
MUN
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ALI
3 - 0
ONC
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MET
2 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 0
FUE
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
AGU
0 - 1
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |