Crystal Palace vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CRY
4 - 3
BUR
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
WOL
1 - 2
CRY
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 1
CRY
73%
17%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CRY
3 - 2
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
CRY
1 - 1
NTT
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 1
MIL
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 2
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 2
BHA
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 2
CAR
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |