Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
WAT
2 - 2
CRY
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CRY
2 - 1
CHA
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
HUR
1 - 0
CRY
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CRY
0 - 0
BOL
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
STO
4 - 1
CRY
64%
21%
14%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
MID
1 - 0
LEE
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MID
2 - 3
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
IPS
4 - 0
MID
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MID
2 - 1
ALD
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LEI
1 - 0
MID
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |