Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
QPR
1 - 1
CRY
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PNE
1 - 1
CRY
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CRY
1 - 1
NTT
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
LEI
2 - 0
CRY
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CRY
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
MID
0 - 1
PLY
73%
18%
8%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PNE
2 - 2
MID
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
MID
2 - 0
DER
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MID
0 - 1
WAT
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
REA
0 - 2
MID
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |