UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 1-2
Crvena Zvezda vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FKS
1 - 3
CRV
22%
23%
56%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
CRV
5 - 0
KAI
60%
21%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CRV
1 - 0
MLA
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
KAI
2 - 1
CRV
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
CRV
0 - 0
VOJ
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 3
SHF
12%
20%
68%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
SHF
3 - 1
ALA
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
ALA
0 - 1
SHF
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
SHF
1 - 0
TEU
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
TEU
0 - 4
SHF
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |