UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 4-2
Crvena Zvezda vs Torpedo Kutaisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2000 |
CRV
2 - 0
KLA
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2000 |
KLA
0 - 3
CRV
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
MIL
1 - 2
CRV
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2000 |
CRV
2 - 0
SME
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
MOG
0 - 2
CRV
50%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2000 |
FTK
0 - 0
WIT
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2000 |
GOR
0 - 4
FTK
14%
20%
67%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2000 |
FTK
6 - 1
SIO
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
DTB
1 - 1
FTK
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
SAM
0 - 3
FTK
17%
21%
62%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |