Crvena Zvezda vs FK Cukaricki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
94
1º
3º
1º
58
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
94 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 1
VOJ
54%
22%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 4
CRV
12%
21%
67%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CRV
3 - 2
RAD
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MLA
0 - 1
CRV
21%
23%
57%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 1
TSC
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Cukaricki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
ČUK
0 - 1
PAR
44%
24%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TSC
2 - 0
ČUK
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
VOJ
2 - 3
ČUK
42%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ČUK
2 - 0
NAP
74%
18%
8%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ČUK
4 - 1
MLA
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |