Crvena Zvezda vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CRV
1 - 1
SME
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
ZEL
4 - 3
CRV
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
CRV
3 - 0
KAI
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
SUT
1 - 0
CRV
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
KAI
0 - 2
CRV
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
LAZ
2 - 3
CHI
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 1
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ROM
5 - 0
CHI
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 2
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
LEC
2 - 3
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |