Crvena Zvezda MML vs Zvezdara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
71.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda MML
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
RNB
0 - 0
CZM
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BRO
3 - 0
CZM
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BSK
5 - 3
CZM
68%
20%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CZM
0 - 2
RAK
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BRO
2 - 1
CZM
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zvezdara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ZVE
1 - 0
BRO
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
KOL
5 - 2
ZVE
18%
23%
60%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2002 |
ZVE
1 - 1
HAJ
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -3 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
MLA
6 - 1
ZVE
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2002 |
ZVE
0 - 4
PAR
18%
22%
60%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |