Crvena Zvezda MML vs Polet Dorćol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda MML
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ZVE
1 - 1
CZM
74%
17%
10%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CZM
1 - 1
RNB
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CZM
3 - 0
BRO
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CZM
1 - 3
KOL
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BSK
2 - 4
CZM
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Polet Dorćol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
POL
1 - 0
BRO
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
KOL
2 - 1
POL
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
POL
4 - 2
BSK
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
POL
0 - 1
RAD
29%
23%
47%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
6 - 1
POL
78%
15%
8%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |