Crvena Zvezda MML vs Lokomotiva Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda MML
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
POL
1 - 2
CZM
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CZM
1 - 2
ZVE
10%
19%
71%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
RNB
0 - 0
CZM
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BRO
3 - 0
CZM
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BSK
5 - 3
CZM
68%
20%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Lokomotiva Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LOB
2 - 3
BRO
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
KOL
3 - 1
LOB
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
LOB
2 - 0
BSK
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
RAD
0 - 0
LOB
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
LOB
4 - 1
STV
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |