Crvena Zvezda MML vs Grafičar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda MML
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 1
CZM
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CZM
1 - 2
JED
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
BEO
2 - 0
CZM
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CZM
1 - 0
BAS
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
STV
0 - 2
CZM
27%
21%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
GRA
5 - 0
BRO
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
KOL
0 - 4
GRA
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
GRA
4 - 0
BSK
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
RAD
1 - 2
GRA
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
RNB
1 - 2
GRA
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |