Cruzeiro RS vs União RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
GAU
0 - 0
CRU
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
CRU
1 - 4
GAU
27%
27%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
URS
1 - 1
CRU
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLO
19%
25%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VER
3 - 1
CRU
67%
19%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
União RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
URS
1 - 1
PAS
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 0
URS
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
URS
1 - 1
CRU
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
URS
1 - 0
VER
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ESP
5 - 1
URS
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |