Cruzeiro RS vs Sapucaiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 3
RIO
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
ECJ
1 - 1
CRU
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 2
AIM
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
CRU
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CRU
1 - 2
PEL
31%
25%
43%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sapucaiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
SAP
3 - 0
ECJ
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
AIM
1 - 0
SAP
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2007 |
SAP
2 - 0
POR
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
PEL
0 - 1
SAP
65%
20%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SAP
0 - 2
GEB
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |