Cruz Azul vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOB
1 - 1
CAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CAZ
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
3 - 3
CAF
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
CAZ
0 - 0
SAN
15%
22%
64%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 1
CAZ
54%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAÑ
1 - 4
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
TIG
2 - 0
CAÑ
84%
11%
4%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MER
2 - 0
CAÑ
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
TIG
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CAÑ
3 - 1
EST
30%
29%
42%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |