Cruz Azul vs Mérida B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
ALT
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 2
UAT
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 1
VER
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MER
3 - 0
TOR
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VER
3 - 0
MER
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MER
2 - 3
LAP
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 0
MER
62%
22%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
PUM
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |