Cruz Azul vs Toluca Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 2
CAC
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
AEM
0 - 1
CAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 2
CAZ
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAZ
3 - 1
QUE
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 3
LOR
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 0
TOL
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 2
PAC
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
TEM
2 - 1
TOL
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |