Cruz Azul vs Tepatitlán FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 0
CAZ
41%
27%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ZAM
51%
23%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAZ
6 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 3
TEM
40%
25%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TEM
3 - 0
NEX
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TEM
3 - 0
RCU
72%
18%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AEM
0 - 4
TEM
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 0
LEO
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |