Cruz Azul vs Tepatitlán FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAZ
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RCU
0 - 2
CAZ
18%
24%
57%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 2
UAP
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 2
CAZ
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CAZ
2 - 0
IRA
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
TEM
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 1
TEM
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
PAC
2 - 1
TEM
15%
21%
65%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
AEM
3 - 2
TEM
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 5
TEM
31%
25%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |