Cruz Azul vs Real Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAZ
6 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 2
CAZ
42%
26%
31%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 1
UAP
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 1
COR
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
COR
0 - 5
ZAM
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CAN
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 2
ZAM
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SAH
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |