Cruz Azul vs Real Cuautitlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
AEM
0 - 2
CAZ
49%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAZ
3 - 1
LEO
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IRA
1 - 0
CAZ
59%
24%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAZ
0 - 1
LOR
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 0
CAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cuautitlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
RCU
1 - 3
LOR
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
QUE
2 - 2
RCU
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +3 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
RCU
4 - 1
PAC
26%
22%
52%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +5 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
RCU
0 - 6
TEM
12%
19%
69%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
RCU
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +1 |