Cruz Azul vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 3
LOB
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
CAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NEC
29%
30%
41%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
2 - 1
TOR
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
PUM
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LAP
3 - 1
PUM
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 0
IRA
34%
28%
39%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
UAT
2 - 0
PUM
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |