Cruz Azul vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
20.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
IPC
0 - 0
CAZ
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 1
CFJ
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 0
CAZ
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CAZ
3 - 0
REB
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2019 |
CAZ
2 - 0
CAZ
80%
15%
5%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
AME
2 - 0
ORI
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 2
IPC
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
IRA
4 - 1
ORI
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ORI
0 - 1
ZAC
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 1
ORI
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |