Cruz Azul vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
UAT
1 - 1
CAZ
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 0
REB
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LEO
5 - 1
CAZ
61%
22%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
LOB
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
3 - 1
MER
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TIJ
3 - 1
ORI
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
UAT
3 - 1
ORI
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
REB
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 0
ORI
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |