Cruz Azul vs Ocelotes de la UNACH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RCU
1 - 0
CAZ
18%
24%
59%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
3 - 0
IPC
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
TUT
2 - 1
CAZ
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIA
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAZ
5 - 2
ATC
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ocelotes de la UNACH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
OUN
0 - 3
ATC
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ACH
1 - 0
OUN
34%
26%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
OUN
8 - 2
IAC
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PDC
2 - 1
OUN
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
OUN
1 - 1
UAP
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |