Cruz Azul vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IND
2 - 1
CAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NEC
29%
30%
41%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAZ
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 3
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 0
LOB
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LOB
0 - 2
VER
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LAP
0 - 2
LOB
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LOB
1 - 0
IRA
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 2
LOB
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |