Cruz Azul vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
VER
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 2
UAT
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
LOB
2 - 4
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ORI
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 0
UAT
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
LOB
3 - 1
IRA
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 2
ORI
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
DUR
2 - 3
IRA
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
IRA
2 - 2
MER
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |